The new year will bring with it tremendous changes and a continuing shift in wealth from the world’s working populations to the banking sector controlled by the Federal Reserve. Generally, the financial direction will be toward the downside for working people in the form of increasing inflation and rising unemployment and to dramatic upside for the global financial sector. Concentration of wealth will also continue within each national financial sector relative to the general citizenry.
Quantitative easing (money-printing) by the Federal Reserve and its central banks will continue outside the public view which will give the impression of a “slow growth” recovery until very close to the November elections. At this point, the Federal Reserve will decide whether it will change from Democratic President to a Republican one by adopting a “public” quantitative easing policy. A public QE will have the effect of dumping the current Democratic President.
The Federal Reserve will also adopt a “social fairness” policy of assisting those with “underwater” home mortgages with direct grants through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in order to mitigate public opposition to Twist and quantitative easing policies.
Thus, 2012 will be a year of robust activity on the world stock markets boosted by the Federal Reserve in the first half of the year that will hide the fiscal reality from most people. After the November election, there will be a significant “adjustment” to allow the real economy to absorb the malinvestments caused by the easy money policies, in other words, a recession to allow housing market and the dollar to find their real bottom.
Given the above, below are the top 12 predictions for 2012 from jaimeoperez.com:
1. Quantitative Easing – The Federal Reserve, in conjunction with world central banks and sovereign states, will continue an accelerated quantitative easing policy outside the view of the public that will temporarily boost the world stock markets and support the idea that a “recovery” is occurring;
2. Stock Market Wins and Loses – The price of the stock market in dollars will continue to rise consistently for the first two quarters of the year. Volatility will diminish, largely in response to the Fed Reserve quantitative easing policy but it will lose, at least, 25 percent of its current value by the end of the third quarter and continue to slide the remainder of the year propped up only until the November election in the US;
3. Global Recession – The largest trading nations will experience a global decline in GDP output and the UK, Europe (including Germany) will experience a deep recession;
4. US Flat Growth - The U.S. will experience flat growth (less than 1 percent);
5. 10 percent inflation – US price inflation will increase at a rate of 10 percent;
6. Civil War – There will be a marked increase in civil conflict across the globe between citizens and their police and military forces;
7. Israel-Palestine Talk – Conversely, there will be a major, behind the scenes effort to reduce middle east tensions because of the impact such a war might have on global economic activity;
8. Dollar Devalues – The dollar will lose half of its value;
9. Silver ComeBack – Precious metals will rise in price and value gradually in first three quarters and then increase dramatically by fourth quarter;
10. US Unemployment Up - Unemployment in the US will rise to 11 percent (19 overall) by the third quarter and 15 percent (24 overall) by the end of the year;
11. Global Bank Mergers - Major banks will experience short-lived and periodic bank holidays across the globe as smaller banks merge into bigger institutions;
12. Riots- U.S. bill of right protections and social internet communication will come under stress as internal stresses due to unemployment and inflation devolve into riots in major cities.